{"id":1391,"date":"2006-11-04T20:30:15","date_gmt":"2006-11-04T20:30:15","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/the19thfloor.net\/?p=1391"},"modified":"2006-11-04T20:30:15","modified_gmt":"2006-11-04T20:30:15","slug":"prognosticator","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/the19thfloor.net\/?p=1391","title":{"rendered":"Prognosticator"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>I&#8217;m not sure how much time I&#8217;m going to have in the next couple days, so here are my semi-educated predictions for Tuesday&#8217;s elections:<\/p>\n<p>MN-Senate: The only question about this race is Klobuchar&#8217;s margin of victory. She&#8217;s run one of the best campaigns of this election cycle and has effectively portrayed Kennedy as the Republican tool we all know him to be. Klobuchar by 12%.<\/p>\n<p>MN-Gov: This is a tight race and the Hatch campaign has flubbed things over the last few days. Note to Hatch: calling someone a &#8220;whore&#8221; is not considered Minnesota nice. Note to Dutcher: read your briefing books more closely, preferably with a highlighter in hand. But I think the (R) after Pawlenty&#8217;s name is going to hurt him in this season of discontent and I suspect that the inner-ring suburbs are going a deeper blue, giving Hatch enough votes to win. Hatch by 4%, with IP candidate Peter Hutchinson garnering somewhere between 6%-8%.<\/p>\n<p>MN-06: I would love to see Patty Wetterling send self-proclaimed &#8220;fool for Christ&#8221; Michelle Bachmann back to the private sector, but this race makes me twitchy. It&#8217;s a conservative district where lots of voters are loyal foot soldiers in a culture war they&#8217;ve already lost. And Bachmann has hypnotized lots of them with her unnerving Stepford wife stare. Bachmann by 5%. I get solace from the fact that Bachmann can be counted on to make a complete ass of herself as soon as she is sworn into office. <\/p>\n<p>MN-01: Who knew this would be a race? Tim Walz is getting good turnout at his rallies in this independent-minded district. And I just gave him fifty bucks, which has to count for something. Walz by 3%.<\/p>\n<p>US House: Control of the House will undoubtedly return to the Democrats. But will we see a tidal wave or a tsunami? I&#8217;m going to be somewhat conservative and project 22 pickups for the Dems, but I won&#8217;t be surprised if it goes as high as 30.<\/p>\n<p>US Senate: Definite pickups include RI, OH, and PA (bye bye, Santorum, you self-righteous, gay-bashing twat). I think we&#8217;ll also get MT, VA, and (crossing my fingers) MO. A slim Democratic majority, if the stars align just right and Democrats show up with their ground game. <\/p>\n<p>Feel free to praise or savage my picks. I&#8217;ll be in Chicago beginning on Election Day, so I won&#8217;t be able to defend myself anyway. I&#8217;m probably being a little optimistic with some of these, but I think we Democrats are entitled to a little optimism after all these years. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I&#8217;m not sure how much time I&#8217;m going to have in the next couple days, so here are my semi-educated predictions for Tuesday&#8217;s elections: MN-Senate: The only question about this race is Klobuchar&#8217;s margin of victory. She&#8217;s run one of the best campaigns of this election cycle and has effectively portrayed Kennedy as the Republican <a href='https:\/\/the19thfloor.net\/?p=1391' class='excerpt-more'>[&#8230;]<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sfsi_plus_gutenberg_text_before_share":"","sfsi_plus_gutenberg_show_text_before_share":"","sfsi_plus_gutenberg_icon_type":"","sfsi_plus_gutenberg_icon_alignemt":"","sfsi_plus_gutenburg_max_per_row":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1391","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","category-1-id","post-seq-1","post-parity-odd","meta-position-corners","fix"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p9Iwau-mr","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/the19thfloor.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1391","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/the19thfloor.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/the19thfloor.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/the19thfloor.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/the19thfloor.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1391"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/the19thfloor.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1391\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/the19thfloor.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1391"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/the19thfloor.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1391"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/the19thfloor.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1391"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}