{"id":3504,"date":"2012-09-10T18:26:12","date_gmt":"2012-09-10T23:26:12","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/the19thfloor.net\/?p=3504"},"modified":"2012-09-10T18:26:12","modified_gmt":"2012-09-10T23:26:12","slug":"breaking-away","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/the19thfloor.net\/?p=3504","title":{"rendered":"Breaking Away?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>I didn&#8217;t give the Democratic National Convention much thought when it began last week. A three-day infomercial for Obama and the Democrats didn&#8217;t seem any more likely to budge the polls than the Republicans&#8217; snoozer of a convention. But that was before the speeches from Michelle Obama, The Bill, and the President. Now, it looks as if the convention produced <a href=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/blogs\/plum-line\/post\/more-on-that-obama-convention-bounce\/2012\/09\/10\/afddb7d6-fb82-11e1-8adc-499661afe377_blog.html\">a real bounce for Obama<\/a>. Nate Silver, my go-to guy for polling analysis, now gives Obama an <a href=\"http:\/\/fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com\/2012\/09\/10\/sept-9-call-it-as-you-see-it\/\">80% chance of winning reelection<\/a>. The standard caveats still apply: bounces can diminish and news events or unforced errors could flip the numbers. But for the moment, it seems that voters aren&#8217;t following Mitt&#8217;s playbook of blaming the President for the fragile economy.<\/p>\n<p>The President&#8217;s campaign team must be pleased with their position with less than two months to go before Election Day. Meanwhile, a few Romney advisors must be putting out feelers for consulting gigs.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I didn&#8217;t give the Democratic National Convention much thought when it began last week. A three-day infomercial for Obama and the Democrats didn&#8217;t seem any more likely to budge the polls than the Republicans&#8217; snoozer of a convention. But that was before the speeches from Michelle Obama, The Bill, and the President. Now, it looks <a href='https:\/\/the19thfloor.net\/?p=3504' class='excerpt-more'>[&#8230;]<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"sfsi_plus_gutenberg_text_before_share":"","sfsi_plus_gutenberg_show_text_before_share":"","sfsi_plus_gutenberg_icon_type":"","sfsi_plus_gutenberg_icon_alignemt":"","sfsi_plus_gutenburg_max_per_row":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[18],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3504","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-politics","category-18-id","post-seq-1","post-parity-odd","meta-position-corners","fix"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p9Iwau-Uw","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/the19thfloor.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3504","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/the19thfloor.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/the19thfloor.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/the19thfloor.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/the19thfloor.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=3504"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/the19thfloor.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3504\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3505,"href":"https:\/\/the19thfloor.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3504\/revisions\/3505"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/the19thfloor.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=3504"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/the19thfloor.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=3504"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/the19thfloor.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=3504"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}