Ezra Klein, the 19th Floor’s favorite wonk, puzzles over the relative stability of the presidential race thus far. Although both sides have suffered gaffes and bad news cycles, the polling remains relatively unchanged with Obama tying or slightly leading Romney. Of course, the usual caveats apply: it’s early, anything can happen, etc. But perhaps most people have already made up their minds and aren’t inclined to change them, no matter how many times the campaigns bombard them with ads.
I’m cautiously optimistic that Obama’s coalition of women, professionals, and people of color will deliver enough votes in the battleground states to win, but Romney is a relentless opponent who understands this is his last chance to make history.