I didn’t give the Democratic National Convention much thought when it began last week. A three-day infomercial for Obama and the Democrats didn’t seem any more likely to budge the polls than the Republicans’ snoozer of a convention. But that was before the speeches from Michelle Obama, The Bill, and the President. Now, it looks as if the convention produced a real bounce for Obama. Nate Silver, my go-to guy for polling analysis, now gives Obama an 80% chance of winning reelection. The standard caveats still apply: bounces can diminish and news events or unforced errors could flip the numbers. But for the moment, it seems that voters aren’t following Mitt’s playbook of blaming the President for the fragile economy.
The President’s campaign team must be pleased with their position with less than two months to go before Election Day. Meanwhile, a few Romney advisors must be putting out feelers for consulting gigs.
